1/15/2004

2004 ARG NH Democratic Tracking

2004 NH Democratic Tracking: Since January 9th, Clark was at 19% vs. Dean's 36%. In the last week, Clark has risen about 2 points per day, while Dean has lost about 2 points per day. As of today, Clark is at 24%(!) and Dean is at 29%(!) Edwards has also come up from 3% to 5%. Gephardt is steady at 4%. Kerry has rebounded back to 15% from a low of about 10%. Lieberman's freefall continues into single digits (despite being the only OTHER candidate skipping Iowa). Undecideds have also dropped from 18% to 15%. I think it's too soon to make a clear prediction, but I think Dean has peaked, and that this is McCain 2000 all over again.

No comments: